Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Alexander Shevchenko beat Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Miomir Kecmanovic at 57%. Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kecmanovic is 2-8 in their last 10, Shevchenko 4-6.

Result: Alexander Shevchenko beat Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Miomir Kecmanovic.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Miomir Kecmanovic a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
57%
Book
69%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
43%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Miomir Kecmanovic at -222 · Model track record

Player comparison

Miomir KecmanovicAlexander Shevchenko
Tennis Gauge rating68706796
Tour rankATP #63ATP #122
Last 10 matches2-84-6
Last 30 days2-32-4
Current streak4 Losses1 Loss
Season record23-3031-38
UTR15.5515.06
Elo (52 weeks)17231629
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko6-3, 6-4China Jinan

Recent form

Miomir Kecmanovic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Rinky Hijikata L7-6, 6-3
19.10.2026James Duckworth L6-4, 6-3
13.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko L6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Jakub Mensik L6-3, 6-3
07.10.2026Sho Shimabukuro W6-2, 6-4
28.09.2026Adrian Mannarino L7-6, 3-6, 7-6
24.09.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L7-6, 6-4
19.09.2026Edas Butvilas W7-5, 1-6, 7-5
30.08.2026Denis Shapovalov L6-4, 4-6, 6-4, 6-1
26.08.2026Fabian Marozsan L6-3, 6-4

Alexander Shevchenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis L7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Daniil Glinka W6-3, 6-7, 7-5
16.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend W6-0, 6-4
13.10.2026Miomir Kecmanovic W6-3, 6-4
05.10.2026Yoshihito Nishioka L6-2, 6-4
01.10.2026Hayato Matsuoka L3-6, 6-2, 6-0
30.09.2026Maximus Jones W6-1, 6-4
24.09.2026Hubert Hurkacz L6-3, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMiomir KecmanovicAlexander Shevchenko
Alexandre Muller 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
Andrey Rublev 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 10-3
Ben Shelton 0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2-0
W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6
Learner Tien 0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 5-7, 6-1, 6-0
Mattia Bellucci 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
0-2
L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4
Nikoloz Basilashvili 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Sebastian Baez 0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Sho Shimabukuro 3-0
W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2
Valentin Vacherot 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-0, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Miomir Kecmanovic 57% at -222

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko: quick answers

Who won Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko?

Alexander Shevchenko beat Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Miomir Kecmanovic at 57%.

What is the head-to-head record between Miomir Kecmanovic and Alexander Shevchenko?

Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Alexander Shevchenko 6-3, 6-4 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Miomir Kecmanovic or Alexander Shevchenko?

Miomir Kecmanovic is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Alexander Shevchenko is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Miomir Kecmanovic and Alexander Shevchenko?

Miomir Kecmanovic is rated 6870 (ATP #63) and Alexander Shevchenko is rated 6796 (ATP #122). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko?

Miomir Kecmanovic is priced at -222 and Alexander Shevchenko at +150, which implies a 69% and 40% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.