Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci
Updated
Mattia Bellucci beat Alexander Shevchenko 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Shevchenko is 4-6 in their last 10, Bellucci 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mattia Bellucci a 62% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mattia Bellucci at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Shevchenko | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6796 | 6864 |
| Tour rank | ATP #122 | ATP #70 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-4 | 10-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 31-38 | 42-29 |
| UTR | 15.06 | 15.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1629 | 1714 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4, 6-4 | China Jinan |
| 16.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4, 6-4 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Alexander Shevchenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Daniil Glinka | W | 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Yoshihito Nishioka | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Maximus Jones | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
Mattia Bellucci, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Shevchenko | Mattia Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Alexandre Muller | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-0, 6-3 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 13-11 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Damir Dzumhur | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Dino Prizmic | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3, 5-7, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Elias Ymer | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-5, 6-4, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-1, W 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Quentin Halys | 1-1 W 7-6, 6-3, L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Raphael Collignon | 0-2 L 7-6, 4-0, L 7-5, 6-4 |
1-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Sebastian Baez | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Ugo Humbert | 0-2 L 6-4, 7-6, L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Alexander Shevchenko 38% at +141
Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci: quick answers
Who won Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?
Mattia Bellucci beat Alexander Shevchenko 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Shevchenko and Mattia Bellucci?
Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Mattia Bellucci 6-4, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Alexander Shevchenko or Mattia Bellucci?
Alexander Shevchenko is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mattia Bellucci is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Shevchenko and Mattia Bellucci?
Alexander Shevchenko is rated 6796 (ATP #122) and Mattia Bellucci is rated 6864 (ATP #70). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?
Alexander Shevchenko is priced at +141 and Mattia Bellucci at -192, which implies a 41% and 66% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.