Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Alexander Shevchenko beat Jay Dylan Hara Friend 6-0, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shevchenko is 4-6 in their last 10, Friend 6-4.

Result: Alexander Shevchenko beat Jay Dylan Hara Friend 6-0, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alexander Shevchenko a 72% favorite. At +100 the sportsbook implies 50% for Alexander Shevchenko, 22 points below the model's 72%.

Model
72%
Book
50%

Model minus book: +22 pts

Model
28%
Book
58%

Model minus book: -30 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Shevchenko at +100 · Model track record

Player comparison

Alexander ShevchenkoJay Dylan Hara Friend
Tennis Gauge rating67966637
Tour rankATP #122ATP #298
Last 10 matches4-66-4
Last 30 days3-45-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record31-3839-22
UTR15.0614.29
Elo (52 weeks)16291568
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko6-0, 6-4China Jinan

Recent form

Alexander Shevchenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis L7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Daniil Glinka W6-3, 6-7, 7-5
16.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend W6-0, 6-4
13.10.2026Miomir Kecmanovic W6-3, 6-4
05.10.2026Yoshihito Nishioka L6-2, 6-4
01.10.2026Hayato Matsuoka L3-6, 6-2, 6-0
30.09.2026Maximus Jones W6-1, 6-4
24.09.2026Hubert Hurkacz L6-3, 7-6

Jay Dylan Hara Friend, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Sho Shimabukuro L6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026August Holmgren W6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Coleman Wong L7-6, 6-1
21.10.2026James Mccabe W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Ognjen Milic W6-4, 6-7, 7-6
15.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko L6-0, 6-4
13.10.2026Alibek Kachmazov W6-7, 7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026Alibek Kachmazov L4-6, 7-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Keisuke Saitoh W6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Ryan Seggerman W7-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAlexander ShevchenkoJay Dylan Hara Friend
Sho Shimabukuro 1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
Taro Daniel 0-1
L 3-6, 6-0, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Alexander Shevchenko 72% at +100

Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend: quick answers

Who won Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alexander Shevchenko beat Jay Dylan Hara Friend 6-0, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Shevchenko and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alexander Shevchenko leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Alexander Shevchenko 6-0, 6-4 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Alexander Shevchenko or Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alexander Shevchenko is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Shevchenko and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alexander Shevchenko is rated 6796 (ATP #122) and Jay Dylan Hara Friend is rated 6637 (ATP #298). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alexander Shevchenko is priced at +100 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend at -137, which implies a 50% and 58% chance to win. The model rates Alexander Shevchenko 22 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.