Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Raul Brancaccio, giving them a 59% chance to win against Alexander Ritschard (41%). Alexander Ritschard leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ritschard is 10-0 in their last 10, Brancaccio 4-6. At +209, the odds imply 32% for Raul Brancaccio, below the model's 59%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Raul Brancaccio a 59% favorite. At +209 the sportsbook implies 32% for Raul Brancaccio, 27 points below the model's 59%.

Model
41%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -37 pts

Model
59%
Book
32%

Model minus book: +27 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Raul Brancaccio at +209 · Model track record

Player comparison

Alexander RitschardRaul Brancaccio
Tennis Gauge rating67036701
Tour rankATP #212ATP #216
Last 10 matches10-04-6
Last 30 days8-01-2
Current streak12 Wins1 Loss
Season record28-538-38
UTR14.4414.33
Elo (52 weeks)–1430
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Alexander Ritschard leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Alexander Ritschard6-4, 4-6, 6-4Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Alexander Ritschard, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W6-2, 6-1
24.10.2026Marco Trungelliti W6-1, 6-4
23.10.2026Sumit Nagal W7-5, 6-2
22.10.2026Raul Brancaccio W6-4, 4-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Carlos Taberner W6-1, 7-5
19.10.2026Andrej Martin W6-3, 6-2
18.10.2026Joao Silva W6-2, 6-0
04.10.2026Alejandro Moro Canas W6-3, 6-2
03.10.2026Ryan Nijboer W7-5, 6-1
02.10.2026Miguel Damas W6-2, 7-5

Raul Brancaccio, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L6-4, 4-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Calvin Hemery W6-1, 6-4
13.10.2026Michael Vrbensky L6-3, 6-1
05.10.2026Moez Echargui L7-5, 6-4
24.09.2026Mika Petkovic L6-4, 7-6
21.09.2026Filippo Romano W7-6, 6-2
15.09.2026Hynek Barton L4-6, 6-2, 6-1
11.09.2026Jaume Munar L2-6, 6-1, 6-1
09.09.2026Pablo Llamas Ruiz W5-7, 6-3, 6-3
08.09.2026Jonas Forejtek W6-2, 2-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAlexander RitschardRaul Brancaccio
Roberto Carballes Baena 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
Sebastian Ofner 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
1-2
L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-3, 1-0, L 6-0, 6-4
Svyatoslav Gulin 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Alexander Ritschard 41% at -357

Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio: quick answers

Who will win Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Raul Brancaccio, giving them a 59% chance to win against Alexander Ritschard (41%).

What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Ritschard and Raul Brancaccio?

Alexander Ritschard leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Alexander Ritschard 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Alexander Ritschard or Raul Brancaccio?

Alexander Ritschard is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 12 Wins). Raul Brancaccio is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Ritschard and Raul Brancaccio?

Alexander Ritschard is rated 6703 (ATP #212) and Raul Brancaccio is rated 6701 (ATP #216). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio?

Alexander Ritschard is priced at -357 and Raul Brancaccio at +209, which implies a 78% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Raul Brancaccio 27 points higher than the odds do (59% vs 32%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.