Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Georgii Kravchenko beat Alexander Donski 7-5, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Donski at 64%. Georgii Kravchenko leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kravchenko is 7-3 in their last 10, Donski 4-6.

Result: Georgii Kravchenko beat Alexander Donski 7-5, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Alexander Donski.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alexander Donski a 64% favorite. At +130 the sportsbook implies 43% for Alexander Donski, 21 points below the model's 64%.

Model
36%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -29 pts

Model
64%
Book
43%

Model minus book: +21 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Donski at +130 · Model track record

Player comparison

Georgii KravchenkoAlexander Donski
Tennis Gauge rating65626532
Tour rankATP #402ATP #465
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days4-30-1
Current streak2 Wins5 Losses
Season record58-3328-22
UTR13.9214.12
Elo (52 weeks)13321402
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Georgii Kravchenko leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Georgii Kravchenko7-5, 6-2Italy Olbia

Recent form

Georgii Kravchenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Nino Ehrenschneider W6-1, 6-4
28.10.2026Petros Tsitsipas W3-6, 6-2, 6-1
15.10.2026Tom Gentzsch L6-3, 3-6, 6-4
13.10.2026Laurent Lokoli W6-7, 7-5, 7-6
12.10.2026Daniel Masur W6-3, 7-6
11.10.2026Alexander Donski W7-5, 6-2
07.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L7-5, 6-3
05.10.2026Hugo Grenier W7-6, 6-4
04.10.2026Sergi Fita Juan W6-4, 6-2
27.09.2026Goncalo Marques L2-6, 6-3, 6-4

Alexander Donski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Yunseong Chung L6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Georgii Kravchenko L7-5, 6-2
27.09.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez L6-3, 3-6, 6-1
17.08.2026Andrea Guerrieri L6-4, 1-6, 6-1
07.08.2026Daniil Glinka L7-6, 6-4
05.08.2026Alejandro Moro Canas W6-4, 7-6
04.08.2026Takuya Kumasaka W7-5, 6-4
03.08.2026Nitin Kumar Sinha W6-3, 6-4
02.08.2026Kenny De Schepper W2-6, 6-4, 7-6
31.07.2026Alex Martinez L6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGeorgii KravchenkoAlexander Donski
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-1
Fausto Tabacco 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Jiri Cizek 1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Philip Henning 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 7-6
Rudolf Molleker 1-0
W 7-5, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 6-1

Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski: quick answers

Who won Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski?

Georgii Kravchenko beat Alexander Donski 7-5, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Donski at 64%.

What is the head-to-head record between Georgii Kravchenko and Alexander Donski?

Georgii Kravchenko leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Georgii Kravchenko 7-5, 6-2 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Georgii Kravchenko or Alexander Donski?

Georgii Kravchenko is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alexander Donski is 4-6 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Georgii Kravchenko and Alexander Donski?

Georgii Kravchenko is rated 6562 (ATP #402) and Alexander Donski is rated 6532 (ATP #465). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski?

Georgii Kravchenko is priced at -182 and Alexander Donski at +130, which implies a 65% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Alexander Donski 21 points higher than the odds do (64% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.