Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang
Updated
Tommaso Compagnucci beat Alexander Chang 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Tommaso Compagnucci leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Compagnucci is 5-5 in their last 10, Chang 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tommaso Compagnucci a 91% favorite. At -286 the sportsbook implies 74% for Tommaso Compagnucci, 17 points below the model's 91%.
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tommaso Compagnucci at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Alexander Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6556 | 6361 |
| Tour rank | ATP #408 | ATP #911 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 66-25 | 23-11 |
| UTR | 14.22 | 13.24 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1422 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Tommaso Compagnucci leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
Recent form
Tommaso Compagnucci, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Branko Djuric | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Chang | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Yanaki Milev | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Riccardo Carpano | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 21.08.2026 | Dominic Stricker | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Alexander Chang, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentin Lapalu | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Karl Friberg | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | L | 6-0, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Filippo Alfano | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Valerio Bracci | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Karan Singh | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Nathan Anthony Barki | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Pablo Perez Ramos | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tommaso Compagnucci | Alexander Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Carboni | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Tommaso Compagnucci 91% at -286
Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang: quick answers
Who won Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang?
Tommaso Compagnucci beat Alexander Chang 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Tommaso Compagnucci and Alexander Chang?
Tommaso Compagnucci leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Tommaso Compagnucci 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Tommaso Compagnucci or Alexander Chang?
Tommaso Compagnucci is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alexander Chang is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tommaso Compagnucci and Alexander Chang?
Tommaso Compagnucci is rated 6556 (ATP #408) and Alexander Chang is rated 6361 (ATP #911). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang?
Tommaso Compagnucci is priced at -286 and Alexander Chang at +185, which implies a 74% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Tommaso Compagnucci 17 points higher than the odds do (91% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.