Alexander Chang vs Jan Sadzik
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alexander Chang, giving them a 72% chance to win against Jan Sadzik (28%). Chang is 6-4 in their last 10, Sadzik 5-5. At +319, the odds imply 24% for Jan Sadzik, below the model's 28%.
Prediction
The model makes Alexander Chang a 72% favorite. At +319 the sportsbook implies 24% for Jan Sadzik, 4 points below the model's 28%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jan Sadzik at +319 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Chang | Jan Sadzik | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6361 | 6311 |
| Tour rank | ATP #911 | ATP #1118 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 23-11 | 10-10 |
| UTR | 13.24 | 12.91 |
Head to head
Alexander Chang and Jan Sadzik haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Alexander Chang, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentin Lapalu | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Karl Friberg | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | L | 6-0, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Filippo Alfano | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Valerio Bracci | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Karan Singh | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Nathan Anthony Barki | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Pablo Perez Ramos | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Jan Sadzik, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Gabriel Ghetu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Saveliy Ivanov | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Filip Drab | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alan Wazny | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 25.08.2026 | Karol Filar | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.08.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 21.08.2026 | Achilles Belkovics | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 20.08.2026 | Alan Wazny | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 19.08.2026 | Ammar Elamin | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Alexander Chang 72% at -625
- 2026-10-31: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Alexander Chang 72% at -625
- 2026-10-30: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Alexander Chang 72% at -625
Alexander Chang vs Jan Sadzik: quick answers
Who will win Alexander Chang vs Jan Sadzik?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alexander Chang, giving them a 72% chance to win against Jan Sadzik (28%).
Have Alexander Chang and Jan Sadzik played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Alexander Chang or Jan Sadzik?
Alexander Chang is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Jan Sadzik is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Chang and Jan Sadzik?
Alexander Chang is rated 6361 (ATP #911) and Jan Sadzik is rated 6311 (ATP #1118). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Chang vs Jan Sadzik?
Alexander Chang is priced at -625 and Jan Sadzik at +319, which implies a 86% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Jan Sadzik 4 points higher than the odds do (28% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.