Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alexander Bublik, giving them a 73% chance to win against Fabian Marozsan (27%). Bublik is 5-5 in their last 10, Marozsan 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alexander Bublik a 73% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Bublik at -303 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Bublik | Fabian Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6922 | 6832 |
| Tour rank | ATP #25 | ATP #97 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 32-24 | 24-25 |
| UTR | 15.81 | 15.45 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1891 | 1745 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Alexander Bublik and Fabian Marozsan haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Alexander Bublik, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.09.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-3, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | J J Wolf | W | 6-4, 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
Fabian Marozsan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Sebastian Sorger | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Timofey Skatov | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zachary Svajda | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alex Bolt | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Louis Van Herck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Michael Zheng | L | 6-4, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 28.08.2026 | James Duckworth | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Bublik | Fabian Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 15-14, 18-8, 20-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0-1 L 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-4, L 6-7, 4-6, 7-5, 6-0, 6-3 |
| Gael Monfils | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Taylor Fritz | 0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ugo Humbert | 1-0 W 11-18, 10-21, 17-16, 17-12, 2-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Vit Kopriva | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-26: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-25: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-24: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-23: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-22: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
- 2026-10-21: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Alexander Bublik 73% at -303
Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan: quick answers
Who will win Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alexander Bublik, giving them a 73% chance to win against Fabian Marozsan (27%).
Have Alexander Bublik and Fabian Marozsan played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Alexander Bublik or Fabian Marozsan?
Alexander Bublik is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Fabian Marozsan is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Bublik and Fabian Marozsan?
Alexander Bublik is rated 6922 (ATP #25) and Fabian Marozsan is rated 6832 (ATP #97). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan?
Alexander Bublik is priced at -303 and Fabian Marozsan at +230, which implies a 75% and 30% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.