Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik
Updated
Alexander Zverev beat Alexander Bublik 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alexander Zverev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10, Bublik 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alexander Zverev a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Zverev at -238 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Zverev | Alexander Bublik | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6988 | 6922 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3 | ATP #25 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 67-19 | 32-24 |
| UTR | 16.3 | 15.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2106 | 1877 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Alexander Zverev leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alexander Zverev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Juncheng Shang | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Alexander Bublik, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.09.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-3, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | J J Wolf | W | 6-4, 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Zverev | Alexander Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 2-6, 7-6, 11-9 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2-0 W 6-2, 7-5, 6-1, W 6-2, 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Jakub Mensik | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jaume Munar | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Juncheng Shang | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
| Karen Khachanov | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Learner Tien | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-1, 4-6, 7-6, L 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Marcos Giron | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Quentin Halys | 4-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 6-2, W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-6, L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Rafael Jodar | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 2-1 W 6-4, 7-5, L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Taylor Fritz | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, 6-2, L 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Tomas Machac | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| Vit Kopriva | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Alexander Zverev 72% at -238
Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik: quick answers
Who won Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik?
Alexander Zverev beat Alexander Bublik 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik?
Alexander Zverev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Alexander Zverev 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alexander Zverev or Alexander Bublik?
Alexander Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alexander Bublik is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik?
Alexander Zverev is rated 6988 (ATP #3) and Alexander Bublik is rated 6922 (ATP #25). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik?
Alexander Zverev is priced at -238 and Alexander Bublik at +195, which implies a 70% and 34% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.