Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriel Debru, giving them a 70% chance to win against Alex Rybakov (30%). Gabriel Debru leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Debru is 8-2 in their last 10, Rybakov 5-5. At -161, the odds imply 62% for Gabriel Debru, below the model's 70%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Gabriel Debru a 70% favorite. At -161 the sportsbook implies 62% for Gabriel Debru, 8 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gabriel Debru at -161 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gabriel Debru | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6542 | 6539 |
| Tour rank | ATP #439 | ATP #448 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 17-7 | 19-27 |
| UTR | 14.11 | 13.96 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1352 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Gabriel Debru leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Gabriel Debru | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Gabriel Debru, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Alex Rybakov | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Braden Shick | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | L | 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 23.09.2026 | Azariah Rusher | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 02.08.2026 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.08.2026 | Paul Inchauspe | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 31.07.2026 | Koki Matsuda | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 29.07.2026 | Florent Bax | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
Alex Rybakov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | L | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Gabriel Debru | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gavin Young | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 19.10.2026 | Bor Artnak | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Karl Poling | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Luca Staeheli | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Matthew Forbes | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ozan Baris | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Karue Sell | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gabriel Debru | Alex Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Arseneault | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-26: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-25: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-24: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-23: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-22: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
- 2026-10-21: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gabriel Debru 70% at -161
Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov: quick answers
Who will win Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriel Debru, giving them a 70% chance to win against Alex Rybakov (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Gabriel Debru and Alex Rybakov?
Gabriel Debru leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Gabriel Debru 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Gabriel Debru or Alex Rybakov?
Gabriel Debru is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alex Rybakov is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gabriel Debru and Alex Rybakov?
Gabriel Debru is rated 6542 (ATP #439) and Alex Rybakov is rated 6539 (ATP #448). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov?
Gabriel Debru is priced at -161 and Alex Rybakov at +120, which implies a 62% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Gabriel Debru 8 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.