David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alex Michelsen, giving them a 87% chance to win against David Goffin (13%). Alex Michelsen leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Goffin is 2-8 in their last 10, Michelsen 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex Michelsen a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex Michelsen at -1250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| David Goffin | Alex Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6707 | 6927 |
| Tour rank | ATP #210 | ATP #23 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 3-14 | 38-24 |
| UTR | 14.84 | 15.93 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1636 | 1860 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3, 6-4 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
David Goffin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Remy Bertola | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Mark Lajal | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.06.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 20.05.2026 | Toby Samuel | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.05.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 29.04.2026 | Thomas Faurel | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 11.04.2026 | Emilio Nava | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 05.04.2026 | Emilio Nava | L | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
Alex Michelsen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | David Goffin | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | David Goffin | Alex Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 19-8, 15-12, 18-7 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Mark Lajal | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-26: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-25: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-24: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-23: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-22: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
- 2026-10-21: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave David Goffin 13% at +681
David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen: quick answers
Who will win David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alex Michelsen, giving them a 87% chance to win against David Goffin (13%).
What is the head-to-head record between David Goffin and Alex Michelsen?
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Alex Michelsen 6-3, 6-4 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, David Goffin or Alex Michelsen?
David Goffin is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alex Michelsen is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate David Goffin and Alex Michelsen?
David Goffin is rated 6707 (ATP #210) and Alex Michelsen is rated 6927 (ATP #23). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen?
David Goffin is priced at +681 and Alex Michelsen at -1250, which implies a 13% and 93% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.