Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen
Updated
Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alex Michelsen at 55%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10, Michelsen 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex Michelsen a 55% favorite. At +160 the sportsbook implies 38% for Botic Van De Zandschulp, 7 points below the model's 45%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Botic Van De Zandschulp at +160 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alex Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6898 | 6927 |
| Tour rank | ATP #45 | ATP #23 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-30 | 38-24 |
| UTR | 15.67 | 15.93 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1816 | 1881 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 | Switzerland Basel |
| 10.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-4, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Botic Van De Zandschulp, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Valentin Royer | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
Alex Michelsen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | David Goffin | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alex Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Shevchenko | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Arthur Fils | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 7-6, L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
2-1 W 7-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-7, 6-1, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-3 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Jan Lennard Struff | 1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 6-1, W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Karen Khachanov | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Taylor Fritz | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-1, 3-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Ugo Humbert | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-7, 7-6 |
Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen: quick answers
Who won Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen?
Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alex Michelsen at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Alex Michelsen?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 27, 2026, won by Alex Michelsen 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 at Switzerland Basel.
Who is in better form, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Alex Michelsen?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Alex Michelsen is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Botic Van De Zandschulp and Alex Michelsen?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is rated 6898 (ATP #45) and Alex Michelsen is rated 6927 (ATP #23). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is priced at +160 and Alex Michelsen at -196, which implies a 38% and 66% chance to win. The model rates Botic Van De Zandschulp 7 points higher than the odds do (45% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.