Alex Michelsen vs Andrea Guerrieri
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alex Michelsen, giving them a 88% chance to win against Andrea Guerrieri (12%). Alex Michelsen leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Michelsen is 5-5 in their last 10, Guerrieri 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex Michelsen a 88% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex Michelsen at -909 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alex Michelsen | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6927 | 6722 |
| Tour rank | ATP #23 | ATP #188 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-24 | 61-26 |
| UTR | 15.93 | 14.64 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1860 | 1594 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | 6-1, 6-2 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
Alex Michelsen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | David Goffin | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Andrea Guerrieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | August Holmgren | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anton Matusevich | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jesper De Jong | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alex Michelsen | Andrea Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| David Goffin | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| Jesper De Jong | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Andrea Guerrieri 11% at +534
- 2026-10-18: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Andrea Guerrieri 11% at +534
Alex Michelsen vs Andrea Guerrieri: quick answers
Who will win Alex Michelsen vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alex Michelsen, giving them a 88% chance to win against Andrea Guerrieri (12%).
What is the head-to-head record between Alex Michelsen and Andrea Guerrieri?
Alex Michelsen leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Alex Michelsen 6-1, 6-2 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, Alex Michelsen or Andrea Guerrieri?
Alex Michelsen is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Andrea Guerrieri is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alex Michelsen and Andrea Guerrieri?
Alex Michelsen is rated 6927 (ATP #23) and Andrea Guerrieri is rated 6722 (ATP #188). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alex Michelsen vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Alex Michelsen is priced at -909 and Andrea Guerrieri at +541, which implies a 90% and 16% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.