Alex De Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto
Updated
Alex De Minaur beat Rei Sakamoto 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alex De Minaur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10, Sakamoto 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex De Minaur a 89% favorite. At -250 the sportsbook implies 71% for Alex De Minaur, 18 points below the model's 89%.
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex De Minaur at -250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alex De Minaur | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6966 | 6775 |
| Tour rank | ATP #8 | ATP #134 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 8-1 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 47-23 | 50-26 |
| UTR | 16.0 | 14.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1938 | 1644 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alex De Minaur leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alex De Minaur, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Rei Sakamoto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriel Diallo | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Amir Omarkhanov | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alex De Minaur | Rei Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | 1-1 W 1-6, 6-2, 6-3, L 13-12, 8-18, 16-12, 13-12 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Karen Khachanov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1, 5-7, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Zachary Svajda | 1-0 W 6-2, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
Alex De Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto: quick answers
Who won Alex De Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto?
Alex De Minaur beat Rei Sakamoto 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alex De Minaur and Rei Sakamoto?
Alex De Minaur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Alex De Minaur 7-6, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alex De Minaur or Rei Sakamoto?
Alex De Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Rei Sakamoto is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alex De Minaur and Rei Sakamoto?
Alex De Minaur is rated 6966 (ATP #8) and Rei Sakamoto is rated 6775 (ATP #134). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alex De Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto?
Alex De Minaur is priced at -250 and Rei Sakamoto at +208, which implies a 71% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Alex De Minaur 18 points higher than the odds do (89% vs 71%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.