Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
Updated
Alex De Minaur beat Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alex De Minaur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10, Khachanov 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex De Minaur a 74% favorite. At -127 the sportsbook implies 56% for Alex De Minaur, 18 points below the model's 74%.
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex De Minaur at -127 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alex De Minaur | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6966 | 6932 |
| Tour rank | ATP #8 | ATP #22 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 9-1 | 4-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 47-23 | 29-25 |
| UTR | 16.0 | 16.05 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1978 | 1850 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Alex De Minaur leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alex De Minaur, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Karen Khachanov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alex De Minaur | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Alexander Blockx | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5, 3-2 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, W 2-6, 7-6, 11-9 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Arthur Fery | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-1 L 6-4, 7-5, 6-2, W 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-6, L 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-1, 1-6, 6-2, L 9-10, 17-6, 14-9, 14-10 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 0-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 2-0 W 6-4, 3-2, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Jakub Mensik | 1-1 L 0-6, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Learner Tien | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Luciano Darderi | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Martin Damm | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rei Sakamoto | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0, 6-1 |
| Tomas Machac | 2-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 10-15, 16-11, 16-13, 16-12 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Ugo Humbert | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 15-13, 18-13, 18-9 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Alex De Minaur 74% at -127
Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov: quick answers
Who won Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov?
Alex De Minaur beat Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov?
Alex De Minaur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Alex De Minaur 6-3, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alex De Minaur or Karen Khachanov?
Alex De Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Karen Khachanov is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov?
Alex De Minaur is rated 6966 (ATP #8) and Karen Khachanov is rated 6932 (ATP #22). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov?
Alex De Minaur is priced at -127 and Karen Khachanov at +108, which implies a 56% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Alex De Minaur 18 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.