Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur
Updated
Alexander Zverev beat Alex De Minaur 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10, Minaur 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alexander Zverev a 57% favorite. At +162 the sportsbook implies 38% for Alex De Minaur, 4 points below the model's 43%.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex De Minaur at +162 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Zverev | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6988 | 6966 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3 | ATP #8 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 8-2 | 10-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 67-19 | 47-23 |
| UTR | 16.3 | 16.0 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2106 | 1978 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 26.09.2026 | Alex De Minaur | 2-6, 7-6, 11-9 | Laver Cup S |
Recent form
Alexander Zverev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Juncheng Shang | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Alex De Minaur, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Zverev | Alex De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Alexander Blockx | 3-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Arthur Fery | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Arthur Fils | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2-0 W 6-2, 7-5, 6-1, W 6-2, 7-5, 6-1 |
1-1 L 6-4, 7-5, 6-2, W 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Cameron Norrie | 3-0 W 7-6, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, W 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-2 L 5-7, 7-6, 6-1, W 7-6, 2-6, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 2-1 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, 6-7, 6-1, W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 4-0 W 5-7, 6-0, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-4, 3-2, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Jakub Mensik | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-1 L 0-6, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-6 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-4, L 6-3, 7-6, L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Karen Khachanov | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Learner Tien | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Luciano Darderi | 1-1 W 6-2, 6-2, 7-6, L 1-6, 7-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
| Mariano Navone | 1-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Martin Damm | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Novak Djokovic | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 0-1 |
| Quentin Halys | 4-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 6-2, W 7-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, W 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Rafael Jodar | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Taylor Fritz | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, 6-2, L 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Tomas Machac | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 |
2-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 10-15, 16-11, 16-13, 16-12 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Alexander Zverev 57% at -200
Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur: quick answers
Who won Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur?
Alexander Zverev beat Alex De Minaur 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Zverev and Alex De Minaur?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Alexander Zverev 6-4, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alexander Zverev or Alex De Minaur?
Alexander Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alex De Minaur is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Zverev and Alex De Minaur?
Alexander Zverev is rated 6988 (ATP #3) and Alex De Minaur is rated 6966 (ATP #8). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur?
Alexander Zverev is priced at -200 and Alex De Minaur at +162, which implies a 67% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Alex De Minaur 4 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.