Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan
Updated
Alex De Minaur beat Alex Molcan , matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10, Molcan 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alex De Minaur a 80% favorite. At -303 the sportsbook implies 75% for Alex De Minaur, 4 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alex De Minaur at -303 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alex De Minaur | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6966 | 6868 |
| Tour rank | ATP #8 | ATP #64 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 47-23 | 39-23 |
| UTR | 16.0 | 15.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1938 | 1731 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Alex De Minaur, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Alex Molcan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Federico Cina | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Vit Kopriva | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alex De Minaur | Alex Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| Alexander Blockx | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Karen Khachanov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Mariano Navone | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Rei Sakamoto | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Sebastian Ofner | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1-1 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tomas Machac | 2-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 10-15, 16-11, 16-13, 16-12 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan: quick answers
Who won Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan?
Alex De Minaur beat Alex Molcan , matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
Have Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Alex De Minaur or Alex Molcan?
Alex De Minaur is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alex Molcan is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan?
Alex De Minaur is rated 6966 (ATP #8) and Alex Molcan is rated 6868 (ATP #64). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan?
Alex De Minaur is priced at -303 and Alex Molcan at +240, which implies a 75% and 29% chance to win. The model rates Alex De Minaur 4 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 75%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.