Alessia Popescu vs Olga Molchanova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alessia Popescu, giving them a 61% chance to win against Olga Molchanova (39%). Alessia Popescu leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Popescu is 6-4 in their last 10, Molchanova 5-5. At +190, the odds imply 34% for Olga Molchanova, below the model's 39%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alessia Popescu a 61% favorite. At +190 the sportsbook implies 34% for Olga Molchanova, 4 points below the model's 39%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Olga Molchanova at +190 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alessia Popescu | Olga Molchanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6087 | 6071 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1738 | WTA #1813 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 2-5 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 28-26 | 11-17 |
| UTR | 9.66 | 8.92 |
Head to head
Alessia Popescu leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Alessia Popescu | 6-2, 6-3 | World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Alessia Popescu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Iana Semichina | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Aurora Urso | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jinte Eve De Boer | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Monika Jirouskova | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Maria Oliver Sanchez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Olga Molchanova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Andreea Prisacariu | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Nadia Kulbiej | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Stefania Bojica | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Olga Molchanova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Jinte Eve De Boer | L | 1-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Alessia Popescu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Maria Oliver Sanchez | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Isaure Bruscia | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Romane Roux | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sofia Martinenghi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Amira Benaissa | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.09.2026 | Zejda Veljacic | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Laura Correia | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 02.09.2026 | Mariia Pryshchepa | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alessia Popescu | Olga Molchanova |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | 0-1 L 6-4, 1-6, 10-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 7-6 |
| Jinte Eve De Boer | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 1-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| Maria Oliver Sanchez | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
Alessia Popescu vs Olga Molchanova: quick answers
Who will win Alessia Popescu vs Olga Molchanova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alessia Popescu, giving them a 61% chance to win against Olga Molchanova (39%).
What is the head-to-head record between Alessia Popescu and Olga Molchanova?
Alessia Popescu leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Alessia Popescu 6-2, 6-3 at World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Alessia Popescu or Olga Molchanova?
Alessia Popescu is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Olga Molchanova is 5-5 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alessia Popescu and Olga Molchanova?
Alessia Popescu is rated 6087 (WTA #1738) and Olga Molchanova is rated 6071 (WTA #1813). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alessia Popescu vs Olga Molchanova?
Alessia Popescu is priced at -303 and Olga Molchanova at +190, which implies a 75% and 34% chance to win. The model rates Olga Molchanova 4 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.