Emilia Carlotta Brune vs Alessandra Fiorillo

WTA Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 12:50.

Updated

Emilia Carlotta Brune beat Alessandra Fiorillo 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alessandra Fiorillo at 53%. Emilia Carlotta Brune leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Brune is 5-5 in their last 10, Fiorillo 5-5.

Result: Emilia Carlotta Brune beat Alessandra Fiorillo 6-2, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Alessandra Fiorillo.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alessandra Fiorillo a 53% favorite. At +120 the sportsbook implies 45% for Alessandra Fiorillo, 8 points below the model's 53%.

Model
47%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model
53%
Book
45%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alessandra Fiorillo at +120 · Model track record

Player comparison

Emilia Carlotta BruneAlessandra Fiorillo
Tennis Gauge rating62416117
Tour rankWTA #1179WTA #1615
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days0-03-2
Current streak2 Losses2 Losses
Season record8-85-5
UTR9.719.93

Head to head

Emilia Carlotta Brune leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Emilia Carlotta Brune6-2, 6-1Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI

Recent form

Emilia Carlotta Brune, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Maja Schweika L6-1, 6-2
22.10.2026Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz L6-0, 6-3
21.10.2026Marylee Longpre W6-1, 6-0
15.10.2026Federica Sacco L7-6, 6-1
14.10.2026Alessandra Fiorillo W6-2, 6-1
03.09.2026Elina Nepliy L6-3, 6-2
02.09.2026Hania Abouelsaad W1-6, 6-2, 6-4
30.08.2026Dune Vaissaud L6-2, 6-1
29.08.2026Kateryna Diatlova W7-5, 1-6, 6-4
28.08.2026Naomi McKenzie W1-6, 6-4, 6-1

Alessandra Fiorillo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Samaira Pahwa L6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Emilia Carlotta Brune L6-2, 6-1
13.10.2026Emira Diabate W4-6, 6-3, 10-2
12.10.2026Carola Cavelli W6-4, 6-3
21.09.2026Galatea Ferro L7-5, 6-2
16.09.2026Chiara Fornasieri L6-1, 7-5
15.09.2026Denise Valente W7-5, 6-4
14.09.2026Sabastiani Leon W6-4, 6-2
19.07.2026Teodora Miron L6-3, 6-2
19.07.2026Vicky Van De Peer W7-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEmilia Carlotta BruneAlessandra Fiorillo
Galatea Ferro 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: WTA Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Emilia Carlotta Brune 47% at -172

Emilia Carlotta Brune vs Alessandra Fiorillo: quick answers

Who won Emilia Carlotta Brune vs Alessandra Fiorillo?

Emilia Carlotta Brune beat Alessandra Fiorillo 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alessandra Fiorillo at 53%.

What is the head-to-head record between Emilia Carlotta Brune and Alessandra Fiorillo?

Emilia Carlotta Brune leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Emilia Carlotta Brune 6-2, 6-1 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI.

Who is in better form, Emilia Carlotta Brune or Alessandra Fiorillo?

Emilia Carlotta Brune is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Alessandra Fiorillo is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Emilia Carlotta Brune and Alessandra Fiorillo?

Emilia Carlotta Brune is rated 6241 (WTA #1179) and Alessandra Fiorillo is rated 6117 (WTA #1615). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Emilia Carlotta Brune vs Alessandra Fiorillo?

Emilia Carlotta Brune is priced at -172 and Alessandra Fiorillo at +120, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Alessandra Fiorillo 8 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.