Sonja Zhenikhova vs Alena Kovackova

WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Alena Kovackova, giving them a 96% chance to win against Sonja Zhenikhova (4%). Alena Kovackova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zhenikhova is 8-2 in their last 10, Kovackova 7-3. At -769, the odds imply 88% for Alena Kovackova, below the model's 96%.

This preview is from Friday, October 16, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alena Kovackova a 96% favorite. At -769 the sportsbook implies 88% for Alena Kovackova, 8 points below the model's 96%.

Model
4%
Book
21%

Model minus book: -18 pts

Model
96%
Book
88%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alena Kovackova at -769 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sonja ZhenikhovaAlena Kovackova
Tennis Gauge rating64036691
Tour rankWTA #729WTA #290
Last 10 matches8-27-3
Last 30 days11-38-2
Current streak1 Win1 Win
Season record29-3345-20
UTR10.2111.66
Elo (52 weeks)–1494
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Alena Kovackova leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Alena Kovackova6-2, 6-1Bulgaria Burgas

Recent form

Sonja Zhenikhova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Andrea Obradovic W2-6, 7-6, 10-8
25.10.2026Mia Horvit L6-3, 6-0
24.10.2026Maja Radenkovic W6-1, 6-4
23.10.2026Masa Jankovic W6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Aurora Nosei W6-1, 6-3
13.10.2026Madhurima Sawant W6-3, 6-0
12.10.2026Daria Maria Marioara W6-2, 6-0
09.10.2026Alena Kovackova L6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Elizara Yaneva W6-4, 6-4
06.10.2026Valeria Garnevska W7-6, 6-3

Alena Kovackova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Ipek Oz L6-2, 7-5
18.10.2026Carolina Alves W7-5, 7-5
17.10.2026Angela Fita Boluda W6-3, 6-2
15.10.2026Alexa Karatancheva W6-0, 6-2
10.10.2026Anastasiya Soboleva L6-1, 7-6
09.10.2026Sonja Zhenikhova W6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Sarah Van Emst W4-6, 7-6, 6-2
06.10.2026Polona Hercog W6-4, 6-3
27.09.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L7-5, 6-3
26.09.2026Vittoria Paganetti W6-2, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSonja ZhenikhovaAlena Kovackova
Anna Kmiecik 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
Beatrice Ricci 0-1
L 6-1, 6-0
1-1
L 3-6, 6-4, 7-5, W 6-0, 6-3
Ipek Oz 0-1
L 2-6, 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 7-5
Kirsten Flipkens 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 1-0
Weronika Falkowska 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), model gave Sonja Zhenikhova 4% at +370
  • 2026-10-08: WTA Burgas (Bulgaria), model gave Sonja Zhenikhova 4% at +375

Sonja Zhenikhova vs Alena Kovackova: quick answers

Who will win Sonja Zhenikhova vs Alena Kovackova?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Alena Kovackova, giving them a 96% chance to win against Sonja Zhenikhova (4%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sonja Zhenikhova and Alena Kovackova?

Alena Kovackova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Alena Kovackova 6-2, 6-1 at Bulgaria Burgas.

Who is in better form, Sonja Zhenikhova or Alena Kovackova?

Sonja Zhenikhova is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Alena Kovackova is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sonja Zhenikhova and Alena Kovackova?

Sonja Zhenikhova is rated 6403 (WTA #729) and Alena Kovackova is rated 6691 (WTA #290). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sonja Zhenikhova vs Alena Kovackova?

Sonja Zhenikhova is priced at +370 and Alena Kovackova at -769, which implies a 21% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Alena Kovackova 8 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 88%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.