Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic
Updated
Tomas Machac beat Aleksandar Vukic 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Tomas Machac leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Machac is 5-5 in their last 10, Vukic 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tomas Machac a 82% favorite. At -250 the sportsbook implies 71% for Tomas Machac, 10 points below the model's 82%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tomas Machac at -250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tomas Machac | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6877 | 6770 |
| Tour rank | ATP #54 | ATP #139 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 21-21 | 26-32 |
| UTR | 15.7 | 14.73 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1802 | 1643 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Tomas Machac leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | 6-2, 6-1 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Tomas Machac, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Corentin Moutet | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Zangar Nurlanuly | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Aleksandar Vukic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Billy Harris | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Christian Langmo | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 6-3, 4-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tomas Machac | Aleksandar Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 1-0 W 16-11, 14-11, 13-17, 11-13, 2-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Arthur Gea | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 4-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| James Duckworth | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Tommy Paul | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Tomas Machac 82% at -250
Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic: quick answers
Who won Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Tomas Machac beat Aleksandar Vukic 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Tomas Machac and Aleksandar Vukic?
Tomas Machac leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Tomas Machac 6-2, 6-1 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Tomas Machac or Aleksandar Vukic?
Tomas Machac is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Aleksandar Vukic is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tomas Machac and Aleksandar Vukic?
Tomas Machac is rated 6877 (ATP #54) and Aleksandar Vukic is rated 6770 (ATP #139). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Tomas Machac is priced at -250 and Aleksandar Vukic at +173, which implies a 71% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Tomas Machac 10 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 71%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.