Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic
Updated
Aleksandar Vukic beat Hayato Matsuoka 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Aleksandar Vukic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10, Vukic 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Aleksandar Vukic a 83% favorite. At -149 the sportsbook implies 60% for Aleksandar Vukic, 23 points below the model's 83%.
Model minus book: -30 pts
Model minus book: +23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Aleksandar Vukic at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hayato Matsuoka | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6613 | 6770 |
| Tour rank | ATP #332 | ATP #139 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 47-32 | 26-32 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 14.73 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1441 | 1643 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Aleksandar Vukic leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-2, 6-3 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Hayato Matsuoka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | James Mccabe | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Aleksandar Vukic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Billy Harris | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Christian Langmo | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 6-3, 4-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hayato Matsuoka | Aleksandar Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Aziz Dougaz | 1-0 W 0-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Evan Zhu | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 4-2 |
| James Duckworth | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Liam Broady | 0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Hayato Matsuoka 17% at +115
Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic: quick answers
Who won Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Aleksandar Vukic beat Hayato Matsuoka 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Hayato Matsuoka and Aleksandar Vukic?
Aleksandar Vukic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Aleksandar Vukic 6-2, 6-3 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Hayato Matsuoka or Aleksandar Vukic?
Hayato Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Aleksandar Vukic is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hayato Matsuoka and Aleksandar Vukic?
Hayato Matsuoka is rated 6613 (ATP #332) and Aleksandar Vukic is rated 6770 (ATP #139). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Hayato Matsuoka is priced at +115 and Aleksandar Vukic at -149, which implies a 47% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Aleksandar Vukic 23 points higher than the odds do (83% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.