Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Stefanos Tsitsipas, giving them a 82% chance to win against Aleksandar Kovacevic (18%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Tsitsipas is 7-3 in their last 10, Kovacevic 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a 82% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stefanos Tsitsipas at -400 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6910 | 6859 |
| Tour rank | ATP #34 | ATP #74 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 1-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 42-24 | 23-35 |
| UTR | 15.91 | 15.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1902 | 1648 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
| 27.08.2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 6-3, 7-6 | USA Winston Salem |
Recent form
Stefanos Tsitsipas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mikhail Kukushkin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 02.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Aleksandar Kovacevic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Ben Shelton | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Zachary Svajda | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 28.08.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Aleksandar Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Ben Shelton | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-0, L 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-2 L 7-6, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Ignacio Buse | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| James Duckworth | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Lloyd Harris | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Moez Echargui | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Novak Djokovic | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
| Patrick Kypson | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic: quick answers
Who will win Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Stefanos Tsitsipas, giving them a 82% chance to win against Aleksandar Kovacevic (18%).
What is the head-to-head record between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Stefanos Tsitsipas or Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Aleksandar Kovacevic is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is rated 6910 (ATP #34) and Aleksandar Kovacevic is rated 6859 (ATP #74). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is priced at -400 and Aleksandar Kovacevic at +297, which implies a 80% and 25% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.