Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:20.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sumit Nagal, giving them a 58% chance to win against Alejo Sanchez Quilez (42%). Sumit Nagal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nagal is 4-6 in their last 10, Quilez 8-2. At -101, the odds imply 50% for Sumit Nagal, below the model's 58%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sumit Nagal a 58% favorite. At -101 the sportsbook implies 50% for Sumit Nagal, 7 points below the model's 58%.

Model
58%
Book
50%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
42%
Book
55%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sumit Nagal at -101 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sumit NagalAlejo Sanchez Quilez
Tennis Gauge rating66706635
Tour rankATP #255ATP #303
Last 10 matches4-68-2
Last 30 days3-29-5
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record29-3354-32
UTR14.3914.36
Elo (52 weeks)15101476
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Sumit Nagal leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Sumit Nagal6-4, 6-2Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Sumit Nagal, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L7-5, 6-2
22.10.2026Benjamin Hassan W7-6, 2-0
20.10.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez W6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Luka Mikrut L6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Henrique Rocha W3-6, 7-5, 7-6
01.10.2026Yibing Wu L6-4, 6-4
30.09.2026Sergey Fomin W6-3, 6-2
19.09.2026Soon Woo Kwon L6-1, 6-2
18.09.2026Hyeon Chung L2-6, 6-4, 7-5
25.08.2026Arthur Gea L6-3, 7-6

Alejo Sanchez Quilez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Sumit Nagal L6-4, 6-2
19.10.2026Kai Wehnelt W7-6, 3-6, 6-2
18.10.2026Duarte Lima Sanches W6-0, 6-2
17.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Luka Mikrut W6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Luka Mikrut W6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Andrej Nedic W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Ivan Gakhov W6-3, 4-6, 7-5
11.10.2026Vasco Leote Prata W4-6, 6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSumit NagalAlejo Sanchez Quilez
Andrej Nedic 0-1
L 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Cezar Cretu 2-0
W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
David Jorda Sanchis 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
Diego Dedura Palomero 0-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 6-1
Geoffrey Blancaneaux 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Inaki Montes De La Torre 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-0
Luka Mikrut 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
2-0
W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-1, 6-4
Maks Kasnikowski 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 7-5, 7-6
Mili Poljicak 1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5
1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2

Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez: quick answers

Who will win Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sumit Nagal, giving them a 58% chance to win against Alejo Sanchez Quilez (42%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sumit Nagal and Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Sumit Nagal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sumit Nagal 6-4, 6-2 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Sumit Nagal or Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Sumit Nagal is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alejo Sanchez Quilez is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sumit Nagal and Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Sumit Nagal is rated 6670 (ATP #255) and Alejo Sanchez Quilez is rated 6635 (ATP #303). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Sumit Nagal is priced at -101 and Alejo Sanchez Quilez at -122, which implies a 50% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Sumit Nagal 7 points higher than the odds do (58% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.