Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Monteiro, giving them a 55% chance to win against Alejandro Moro Canas (45%). Thiago Monteiro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Monteiro is 5-5 in their last 10, Canas 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Thiago Monteiro a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Thiago Monteiro at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Thiago Monteiro | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6718 | 6663 |
| Tour rank | ATP #194 | ATP #267 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 7-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 36-21 | 42-33 |
| UTR | 14.61 | 14.44 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1548 | 1527 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Thiago Monteiro leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-3, 7-6 | Portugal Lisbon |
Recent form
Thiago Monteiro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
Alejandro Moro Canas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | L | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Andrej Martin | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Kalin Ivanovski | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Sander Jong | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Pedro Vives Marcos | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Bruno Pujol Navarro | W | 6-0, 3-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Thiago Monteiro | Alejandro Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
| Franco Agamenone | 2-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-0, W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Henrique Rocha | 0-2 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, L 6-0, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Mika Petkovic | 1-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1, W 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Tom Gentzsch | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
| Vilius Gaubas | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-2, L 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Thiago Monteiro 57% at -110
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Thiago Monteiro 57% at -110
Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas: quick answers
Who will win Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Monteiro, giving them a 55% chance to win against Alejandro Moro Canas (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Thiago Monteiro and Alejandro Moro Canas?
Thiago Monteiro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Thiago Monteiro 6-3, 7-6 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Thiago Monteiro or Alejandro Moro Canas?
Thiago Monteiro is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alejandro Moro Canas is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Thiago Monteiro and Alejandro Moro Canas?
Thiago Monteiro is rated 6718 (ATP #194) and Alejandro Moro Canas is rated 6663 (ATP #267). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Thiago Monteiro is priced at -133 and Alejandro Moro Canas at -106, which implies a 57% and 51% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.