Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar
Updated
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Rafael Jodar 1-6, 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Rafael Jodar at 57%. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fokina is 9-1 in their last 10, Jodar 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Rafael Jodar a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rafael Jodar at -135 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6960 | 6980 |
| Tour rank | ATP #10 | ATP #5 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 9-1 | 8-1 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-17 | 60-20 |
| UTR | 15.85 | 16.18 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1907 | 1971 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Rafael Jodar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Rafael Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Alex Michelsen | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| Alexandre Muller | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 2-0 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Cameron Norrie | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Corentin Moutet | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| Cristian Garin | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-5, L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Ethan Quinn | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Jakub Mensik | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 1-4, 4-3, 1-4, 4-2, 4-3 |
| Marco Trungelliti | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
2-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 43% at +120
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar: quick answers
Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Rafael Jodar 1-6, 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Rafael Jodar at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Rafael Jodar is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is rated 6960 (ATP #10) and Rafael Jodar is rated 6980 (ATP #5). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is priced at +120 and Rafael Jodar at -135, which implies a 45% and 57% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.