Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Updated
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Hubert Hurkacz 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Hurkacz is 7-3 in their last 10, Fokina 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a 57% favorite. At -104 the sportsbook implies 51% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 6 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at -104 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hubert Hurkacz | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6943 | 6960 |
| Tour rank | ATP #16 | ATP #10 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 10-2 | 6-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 37-24 | 34-17 |
| UTR | 15.96 | 15.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1886 | 1907 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 29.09.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4, 7-6 | China Chengdu |
Recent form
Hubert Hurkacz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Holger Rune | L | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hubert Hurkacz | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-2 L 6-4, 3-2, L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Arthur Gea | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-1 |
| Casper Ruud | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Damir Dzumhur | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Ethan Quinn | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-4, 7-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Fabian Marozsan | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-0, 6-3, W 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-2 L 7-6, 0-6, 11-9, L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Learner Tien | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| Marton Fucsovics | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Tommy Paul | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-3, 7-6, L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Zachary Svajda | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Hubert Hurkacz 43% at -115
Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: quick answers
Who won Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Hubert Hurkacz 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Hubert Hurkacz or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Hubert Hurkacz is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Hubert Hurkacz is rated 6943 (ATP #16) and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is rated 6960 (ATP #10). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Hubert Hurkacz is priced at -115 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at -104, which implies a 53% and 51% chance to win. The model rates Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.