Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
Updated
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Frances Tiafoe 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Frances Tiafoe at 59%. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fokina is 9-1 in their last 10, Tiafoe 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a 59% favorite. At -102 the sportsbook implies 50% for Frances Tiafoe, 9 points below the model's 59%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Frances Tiafoe at -102 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Frances Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6960 | 6950 |
| Tour rank | ATP #10 | ATP #13 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 34-17 | 46-21 |
| UTR | 15.85 | 16.08 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1895 | 1957 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Frances Tiafoe, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Kei Nishikori | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ben Shelton | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.09.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | W | 7-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 05.09.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | W | 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 03.09.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 6-3, 7-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Alex Michelsen | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
2-0 W 7-5, 6-3, W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-3, W 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 2-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Jakub Mensik | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Jenson Brooksby | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-1 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
3-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-2 L 6-3, 7-6, L 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Zachary Svajda | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe: quick answers
Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Frances Tiafoe 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Frances Tiafoe at 59%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Frances Tiafoe?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Frances Tiafoe is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is rated 6960 (ATP #10) and Frances Tiafoe is rated 6950 (ATP #13). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is priced at -116 and Frances Tiafoe at -102, which implies a 54% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Frances Tiafoe 9 points higher than the odds do (59% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.