Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Updated
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Arthur Gea 4-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gea is 8-2 in their last 10, Fokina 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a 66% favorite. At -108 the sportsbook implies 52% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 15 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at -108 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arthur Gea | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6867 | 6960 |
| Tour rank | ATP #65 | ATP #10 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 7-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 51-23 | 34-17 |
| UTR | 15.69 | 15.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1793 | 1907 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 4-1 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Arthur Gea, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ben Shelton | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jaime Faria | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arthur Gea | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Damir Dzumhur | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
2-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1-0 W 6-3, 2-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Ugo Humbert | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-3, 5-7, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Zachary Svajda | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Arthur Gea 34% at -115
Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: quick answers
Who won Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Arthur Gea 4-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-1 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Arthur Gea or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Arthur Gea is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Arthur Gea is rated 6867 (ATP #65) and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is rated 6960 (ATP #10). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Arthur Gea is priced at -115 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at -108, which implies a 53% and 52% chance to win. The model rates Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 15 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 52%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.