Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Updated
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Alexander Zverev 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Zverev at 65%. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10, Fokina 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alexander Zverev a 65% favorite. At +314 the sportsbook implies 24% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 11 points below the model's 35%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at +314 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Zverev | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6988 | 6960 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3 | ATP #10 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 9-2 | 8-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 67-19 | 34-17 |
| UTR | 16.3 | 15.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2106 | 1907 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Alexander Zverev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Juncheng Shang | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jenson Brooksby | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Zverev | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 2-6, 7-6, 11-9 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Alexandre Muller | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Cameron Norrie | 3-0 W 7-6, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, W 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Corentin Moutet | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Cristian Garin | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Juncheng Shang | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Learner Tien | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Quentin Halys | 4-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 6-2, W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Rafael Jodar | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-3, 7-6, L 6-1, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Alexander Zverev 65% at -385
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: quick answers
Who won Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Alexander Zverev 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Zverev at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Alexander Zverev or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alexander Zverev is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alexander Zverev is rated 6988 (ATP #3) and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is rated 6960 (ATP #10). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alexander Zverev is priced at -385 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at +314, which implies a 79% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 11 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.