Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Preston Stearns, giving them a 57% chance to win against Alejandro Arcila (43%). Preston Stearns leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stearns is 6-4 in their last 10, Arcila 4-6. At +192, the odds imply 34% for Alejandro Arcila, below the model's 43%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Preston Stearns a 57% favorite. At +192 the sportsbook implies 34% for Alejandro Arcila, 9 points below the model's 43%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alejandro Arcila at +192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Preston Stearns | Alejandro Arcila | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6340 | 6186 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1001 | ATP #1676 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 29-8 | 10-13 |
| UTR | 13.77 | 13.32 |
Head to head
Preston Stearns leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Preston Stearns | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 | USA Las Vegas |
Recent form
Preston Stearns, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alejandro Arcila | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Matthew Forbes | W | 7-6, 1-0 |
| 27.09.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Eli Stephenson | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nathan Blokhin | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sasha Rozin | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Louis Bowden | W | 5-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.08.2026 | Bryce Nakashima | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 28.08.2026 | Marko Mesarovic | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
Alejandro Arcila, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Preston Stearns | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Julian Alonso | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Ian Bracks | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Jeremy Zhang | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.08.2026 | Nikola Slavic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 11.08.2026 | Matas Vasiliauskas | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.07.2026 | Rodrigo Alujas | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 07.07.2026 | Lisandru Rodriguez | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.06.2026 | Joan Torres Espinosa | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Preston Stearns | Alejandro Arcila |
|---|---|---|
| William Mroz | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Las Vegas (USA), model gave Preston Stearns 57% at -303
Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila: quick answers
Who will win Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Preston Stearns, giving them a 57% chance to win against Alejandro Arcila (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Preston Stearns and Alejandro Arcila?
Preston Stearns leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Preston Stearns 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 at USA Las Vegas.
Who is in better form, Preston Stearns or Alejandro Arcila?
Preston Stearns is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alejandro Arcila is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Preston Stearns and Alejandro Arcila?
Preston Stearns is rated 6340 (ATP #1001) and Alejandro Arcila is rated 6186 (ATP #1676). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila?
Preston Stearns is priced at -303 and Alejandro Arcila at +192, which implies a 75% and 34% chance to win. The model rates Alejandro Arcila 9 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.