Alberto Bronzetti vs James Mackinlay
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alberto Bronzetti, giving them a 74% chance to win against James Mackinlay (26%). James Mackinlay leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bronzetti is 4-6 in their last 10, Mackinlay 7-3. At -114, the odds imply 53% for Alberto Bronzetti, below the model's 74%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alberto Bronzetti a 74% favorite. At -114 the sportsbook implies 53% for Alberto Bronzetti, 20 points below the model's 74%.
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model minus book: -30 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alberto Bronzetti at -114 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alberto Bronzetti | James Mackinlay | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6143 | 6270 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1931 | ATP #1283 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 8-9 | 7-3 |
| UTR | 12.6 | 12.12 |
Head to head
James Mackinlay leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | James Mackinlay | 6-4, 6-3 | Malta Marsa |
Recent form
Alberto Bronzetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | James Mackinlay | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alex Blanchar | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 04.08.2026 | Leonardo Primucci | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 03.08.2026 | Andrea Meduri | W | 1-6, 6-4, 1-0 |
| 03.08.2026 | Enrique Bogo | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.07.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 25.05.2026 | Matteo Sciahbasi | L | 7-6, 3-0 |
| 24.05.2026 | Pierandrea Valvasori | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 12.04.2026 | Matteo Mura | L | 6-3, 2-6, 1-0 |
| 01.04.2026 | Gabriele Maria Noce | L | 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
James Mackinlay, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alberto Bronzetti | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 05.07.2026 | Patrick Brady | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.05.2026 | Ben Hudson | W | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 16.05.2026 | Tyler Stice | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.05.2026 | Samuel Zlotnik | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.05.2026 | Cameron Fryer | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 12.05.2026 | Robert Cowley | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 11.05.2026 | Dylan Leeman | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.03.2026 | Alexander Maggs | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Marsa (Malta), model gave Alberto Bronzetti 74% at -114
Alberto Bronzetti vs James Mackinlay: quick answers
Who will win Alberto Bronzetti vs James Mackinlay?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alberto Bronzetti, giving them a 74% chance to win against James Mackinlay (26%).
What is the head-to-head record between Alberto Bronzetti and James Mackinlay?
James Mackinlay leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by James Mackinlay 6-4, 6-3 at Malta Marsa.
Who is in better form, Alberto Bronzetti or James Mackinlay?
Alberto Bronzetti is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). James Mackinlay is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alberto Bronzetti and James Mackinlay?
Alberto Bronzetti is rated 6143 (ATP #1931) and James Mackinlay is rated 6270 (ATP #1283). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alberto Bronzetti vs James Mackinlay?
Alberto Bronzetti is priced at -114 and James Mackinlay at -127, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Alberto Bronzetti 20 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.