Alastair Gray vs Theo Papamalamis
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alastair Gray, giving them a 80% chance to win against Theo Papamalamis (20%). Alastair Gray leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gray is 6-4 in their last 10, Papamalamis 8-2. At -185, the odds imply 65% for Alastair Gray, below the model's 80%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alastair Gray a 80% favorite. At -185 the sportsbook implies 65% for Alastair Gray, 15 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alastair Gray at -185 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alastair Gray | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6570 | 6474 |
| Tour rank | ATP #393 | ATP #577 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 9-1 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 46-22 | 46-20 |
| UTR | 14.05 | 13.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1316 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Alastair Gray leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | 7-6, 7-5 | USA Norman |
Recent form
Alastair Gray, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Emanuel Ivanisevic | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Li Tu | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | L | 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Maximus Jones | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | George Loffhagen | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Theo Papamalamis, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alex Rybakov | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Jack Anthrop | W | 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Nikola Slavic | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Johan Oscar Lien | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hoyoung Roh | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Matei Cristian Onofrei | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Sasha Rozin | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Aryan Shah | W | 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alastair Gray | Theo Papamalamis |
|---|---|---|
| Dominick Mosejczuk | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Sebastian Gorzny | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
0-3 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-2, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Norman (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 80% at -185
Alastair Gray vs Theo Papamalamis: quick answers
Who will win Alastair Gray vs Theo Papamalamis?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alastair Gray, giving them a 80% chance to win against Theo Papamalamis (20%).
What is the head-to-head record between Alastair Gray and Theo Papamalamis?
Alastair Gray leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Alastair Gray 7-6, 7-5 at USA Norman.
Who is in better form, Alastair Gray or Theo Papamalamis?
Alastair Gray is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Theo Papamalamis is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alastair Gray and Theo Papamalamis?
Alastair Gray is rated 6570 (ATP #393) and Theo Papamalamis is rated 6474 (ATP #577). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alastair Gray vs Theo Papamalamis?
Alastair Gray is priced at -185 and Theo Papamalamis at +129, which implies a 65% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Alastair Gray 15 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.