Alastair Gray vs Lui Maxted
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alastair Gray, giving them a 65% chance to win against Lui Maxted (35%). Gray is 6-4 in their last 10, Maxted 6-4. At -141, the odds imply 59% for Alastair Gray, below the model's 65%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alastair Gray a 65% favorite. At -141 the sportsbook implies 59% for Alastair Gray, 6 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alastair Gray at -141 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alastair Gray | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6570 | 6531 |
| Tour rank | ATP #393 | ATP #468 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 46-22 | 39-24 |
| UTR | 14.05 | 13.87 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1316 | 1333 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alastair Gray and Lui Maxted haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Alastair Gray, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Emanuel Ivanisevic | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Li Tu | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | L | 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Maximus Jones | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | George Loffhagen | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Lui Maxted, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ilya Snitari | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Pablo Martinez Gomez | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sander Jong | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Andrew Fenty | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aidan Kim | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Luca Potenza | L | 6-2, 4-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Francisco Rocha | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alastair Gray | Lui Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-1, 6-1, W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Johannus Monday | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-2 L 1-6, 6-3, 7-6, L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Patrick Brady | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 65% at -141
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 65% at -143
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 65% at -143
Alastair Gray vs Lui Maxted: quick answers
Who will win Alastair Gray vs Lui Maxted?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alastair Gray, giving them a 65% chance to win against Lui Maxted (35%).
Have Alastair Gray and Lui Maxted played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Alastair Gray or Lui Maxted?
Alastair Gray is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Lui Maxted is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alastair Gray and Lui Maxted?
Alastair Gray is rated 6570 (ATP #393) and Lui Maxted is rated 6531 (ATP #468). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alastair Gray vs Lui Maxted?
Alastair Gray is priced at -141 and Lui Maxted at +116, which implies a 59% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Alastair Gray 6 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.