Belle Thompson vs Alana Subasic
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alana Subasic, giving them a 52% chance to win against Belle Thompson (48%). Belle Thompson leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Thompson is 6-4 in their last 10, Subasic 5-5. At +132, the odds imply 43% for Belle Thompson, below the model's 48%.
Prediction
The model makes Alana Subasic a 52% favorite. At +132 the sportsbook implies 43% for Belle Thompson, 5 points below the model's 48%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Belle Thompson at +132 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Belle Thompson | Alana Subasic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6240 | 6371 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1180 | WTA #795 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 54-27 | 33-22 |
| UTR | 10.5 | 10.6 |
Head to head
Belle Thompson leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | Belle Thompson | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 | Australia Brisbane |
Recent form
Belle Thompson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Dayeon Back | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Sera Nishimoto | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | I Wen Wan | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Yuno Kitahara | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ashleigh Simes | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | I Wen Wan | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Lily Fannin | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Laquisa Khan | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Sarah Munroe | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Piper Freeman | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
Alana Subasic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tahlia Kokkinis | W | 6-0, 3-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jizelle Sibai | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Georgia Campbell | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Haruna Arakawa | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Nana Onozawa | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.07.2026 | Belle Thompson | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 16.07.2026 | Angel Warang | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.07.2026 | Mana Kawamura | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 28.06.2026 | Duru Soke | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Belle Thompson | Alana Subasic |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Stevens | 2-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 6-0, W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-3, 7-5, L 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Ashleigh Simes | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Chelsea Stergiopoulos | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Emerson Jones | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Lizette Cabrera | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Yang Ya Yi | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Yuno Kitahara | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA Sydney (XI) I (Australia), model gave Belle Thompson 48% at +132
- 2026-10-31: WTA Sydney (XI) I (Australia), model gave Belle Thompson 48% at +132
- 2026-10-30: WTA Sydney (XI) I (Australia), model gave Belle Thompson 48% at +132
Belle Thompson vs Alana Subasic: quick answers
Who will win Belle Thompson vs Alana Subasic?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alana Subasic, giving them a 52% chance to win against Belle Thompson (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Belle Thompson and Alana Subasic?
Belle Thompson leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on July 17, 2026, won by Belle Thompson 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 at Australia Brisbane.
Who is in better form, Belle Thompson or Alana Subasic?
Belle Thompson is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alana Subasic is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Belle Thompson and Alana Subasic?
Belle Thompson is rated 6240 (WTA #1180) and Alana Subasic is rated 6371 (WTA #795). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Belle Thompson vs Alana Subasic?
Belle Thompson is priced at +132 and Alana Subasic at -200, which implies a 43% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Belle Thompson 5 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.