Akira Santillan vs Yaroslav Demin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Akira Santillan, giving them a 61% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (39%). Akira Santillan leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Santillan is 5-5 in their last 10, Demin 7-3. At -115, the odds imply 53% for Akira Santillan, below the model's 61%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Akira Santillan a 61% favorite. At -115 the sportsbook implies 53% for Akira Santillan, 7 points below the model's 61%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Akira Santillan at -115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Akira Santillan | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6521 | 6525 |
| Tour rank | ATP #486 | ATP #479 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 4 Wins |
| Season record | 46-35 | 43-21 |
| UTR | 13.86 | 13.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1371 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Grass | – |
Head to head
Akira Santillan leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 | China Guangzhou |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | 6-3, 6-3 | China Wuning |
Recent form
Akira Santillan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Charles Broom | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Liam Broady | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Alex Bolt | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Kang Kaigaoge | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
Yaroslav Demin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Akira Santillan | Yaroslav Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Maties Torres Ramis | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 1-0 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Qian Sun | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
Akira Santillan vs Yaroslav Demin: quick answers
Who will win Akira Santillan vs Yaroslav Demin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Akira Santillan, giving them a 61% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (39%).
What is the head-to-head record between Akira Santillan and Yaroslav Demin?
Akira Santillan leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Akira Santillan 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Akira Santillan or Yaroslav Demin?
Akira Santillan is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 (current streak: 4 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Akira Santillan and Yaroslav Demin?
Akira Santillan is rated 6521 (ATP #486) and Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Akira Santillan vs Yaroslav Demin?
Akira Santillan is priced at -115 and Yaroslav Demin at -120, which implies a 53% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Akira Santillan 7 points higher than the odds do (61% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.