Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aidan Mchugh, giving them a 68% chance to win against Luca Pow (32%). Luca Pow leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pow is 4-6 in their last 10, Mchugh 6-4. At -185, the odds imply 65% for Aidan Mchugh, below the model's 68%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Aidan Mchugh a 68% favorite. At -185 the sportsbook implies 65% for Aidan Mchugh, 3 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Aidan Mchugh at -185 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luca Pow | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6417 | 6421 |
| Tour rank | ATP #734 | ATP #719 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 29-15 | 16-9 |
| UTR | 13.74 | 14.09 |
Head to head
Luca Pow leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luca Pow | 6-1, 7-5 | USA Norman |
Recent form
Luca Pow, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Kriish Tyagi | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Noa Vukadin | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Nathan Trouve | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 22.08.2026 | Felix Balshaw | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 13.08.2026 | Ozan Baris | L | 6-2, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 11.08.2026 | Benjamin Thomas George | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.07.2026 | Millen Hurrion | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.07.2026 | Jerry Roddick | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.07.2026 | Gavin Young | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
Aidan Mchugh, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luca Pow | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Joshua Sheehy | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Martin Riu | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexandre Reco | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luca Pow | Aidan Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Karl Poling | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Norman (USA), model gave Luca Pow 32% at +125
Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh: quick answers
Who will win Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aidan Mchugh, giving them a 68% chance to win against Luca Pow (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Luca Pow and Aidan Mchugh?
Luca Pow leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Luca Pow 6-1, 7-5 at USA Norman.
Who is in better form, Luca Pow or Aidan Mchugh?
Luca Pow is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Aidan Mchugh is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Pow and Aidan Mchugh?
Luca Pow is rated 6417 (ATP #734) and Aidan Mchugh is rated 6421 (ATP #719). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh?
Luca Pow is priced at +125 and Aidan Mchugh at -185, which implies a 44% and 65% chance to win. The model rates Aidan Mchugh 3 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.