Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling
Updated
Karl Poling beat Aidan Mchugh 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Aidan Mchugh at 53%. Karl Poling leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10, Poling 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Aidan Mchugh a 53% favorite. No odds were posted for this match.
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aidan Mchugh | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6421 | 6492 |
| Tour rank | ATP #719 | ATP #540 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 16-9 | 35-36 |
| UTR | 14.09 | 13.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1267 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Karl Poling leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Karl Poling | 6-4, 6-3 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Aidan Mchugh, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luca Pow | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Joshua Sheehy | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Martin Riu | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexandre Reco | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Karl Poling, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Sebastian Dominko | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Maxwell Exsted | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alex Rybakov | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Iker Urribarrens Ramirez | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Titouan Droguet | L | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Moez Echargui | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aidan Mchugh | Karl Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Luca Pow | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Austin (USA), model gave Aidan Mchugh 53%
Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling: quick answers
Who won Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling?
Karl Poling beat Aidan Mchugh 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Aidan Mchugh at 53%.
What is the head-to-head record between Aidan Mchugh and Karl Poling?
Karl Poling leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Karl Poling 6-4, 6-3 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Aidan Mchugh or Karl Poling?
Aidan Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Karl Poling is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aidan Mchugh and Karl Poling?
Aidan Mchugh is rated 6421 (ATP #719) and Karl Poling is rated 6492 (ATP #540). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.