Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling

ATP Austin (USA), Hard. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 11:00.

Updated

Karl Poling beat Aidan Mchugh 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Aidan Mchugh at 53%. Karl Poling leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10, Poling 4-6.

Result: Karl Poling beat Aidan Mchugh 6-4, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Aidan Mchugh.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Aidan Mchugh a 53% favorite. No odds were posted for this match.

Model
53%
Book
–
Model
47%
Book
–

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Model track record

Player comparison

Aidan MchughKarl Poling
Tennis Gauge rating64216492
Tour rankATP #719ATP #540
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days6-11-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record16-935-36
UTR14.0913.89
Elo (52 weeks)–1267
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Karl Poling leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Karl Poling6-4, 6-3USA Austin

Recent form

Aidan Mchugh, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Luca Pow L6-1, 7-5
28.10.2026Alejandro Melero Kretzer W6-4, 6-1
19.10.2026Erik Arutiunian L6-4, 6-3
19.10.2026Joshua Sheehy W6-2, 6-2
13.10.2026Karl Poling L6-4, 6-3
24.09.2026Christian Djonov L6-1, 5-7, 6-4
23.09.2026Martin Riu W6-0, 6-2
20.09.2026Samir Banerjee W6-4, 6-4
19.09.2026Alexandre Reco W7-6, 6-3
18.09.2026Leonardo Rossi W6-2, 6-4

Karl Poling, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Sebastian Dominko L6-4, 7-6
26.10.2026Patrick Zahraj W7-6, 7-6
25.10.2026Maxwell Exsted W6-3, 6-2
18.10.2026Alex Rybakov L6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Iker Urribarrens Ramirez L6-3, 6-1
13.10.2026Aidan Mchugh W6-4, 6-3
27.09.2026Patrick Zahraj L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
22.09.2026Titouan Droguet L6-7, 6-4, 7-6
21.09.2026Moez Echargui L6-4, 7-6
20.09.2026Yanis Ghazouani Durand W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAidan MchughKarl Poling
Joshua Sheehy 2-0
W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 7-6
Luca Pow 0-1
L 6-1, 7-5
1-0
W 7-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Austin (USA), model gave Aidan Mchugh 53%

Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling: quick answers

Who won Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling?

Karl Poling beat Aidan Mchugh 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Aidan Mchugh at 53%.

What is the head-to-head record between Aidan Mchugh and Karl Poling?

Karl Poling leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Karl Poling 6-4, 6-3 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Aidan Mchugh or Karl Poling?

Aidan Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Karl Poling is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Aidan Mchugh and Karl Poling?

Aidan Mchugh is rated 6421 (ATP #719) and Karl Poling is rated 6492 (ATP #540). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.