Aidan Mchugh vs Joshua Sheehy
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Joshua Sheehy, giving them a 50% chance to win against Aidan Mchugh (50%). Aidan Mchugh leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10, Sheehy 2-8. At +160, the odds imply 38% for Joshua Sheehy, below the model's 50%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Joshua Sheehy a 50% favorite. At +160 the sportsbook implies 38% for Joshua Sheehy, 12 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Joshua Sheehy at +160 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aidan Mchugh | Joshua Sheehy | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6421 | 6467 |
| Tour rank | ATP #719 | ATP #598 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 16-9 | 11-19 |
| UTR | 14.09 | 13.71 |
Head to head
Aidan Mchugh leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | 6-2, 6-2 | USA Fort Worth |
| 04.01.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 | United Kingdom Nottingham |
Recent form
Aidan Mchugh, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luca Pow | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Joshua Sheehy | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Martin Riu | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexandre Reco | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Joshua Sheehy, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | L | 6-2, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 23.08.2026 | Luis Britto | W | 6-2 |
| 02.08.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 27.07.2026 | Renta Tokuda | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 19.07.2026 | Edward Winter | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 13.07.2026 | Christian Langmo | L | 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 12.07.2026 | Kelly Giese | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aidan Mchugh | Joshua Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Karl Poling | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Aidan Mchugh 41% at -244
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Aidan Mchugh 41% at -244
Aidan Mchugh vs Joshua Sheehy: quick answers
Who will win Aidan Mchugh vs Joshua Sheehy?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Joshua Sheehy, giving them a 50% chance to win against Aidan Mchugh (50%).
What is the head-to-head record between Aidan Mchugh and Joshua Sheehy?
Aidan Mchugh leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Aidan Mchugh 6-2, 6-2 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Aidan Mchugh or Joshua Sheehy?
Aidan Mchugh is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Joshua Sheehy is 2-8 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aidan Mchugh and Joshua Sheehy?
Aidan Mchugh is rated 6421 (ATP #719) and Joshua Sheehy is rated 6467 (ATP #598). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aidan Mchugh vs Joshua Sheehy?
Aidan Mchugh is priced at -244 and Joshua Sheehy at +160, which implies a 71% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Joshua Sheehy 12 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.