Erik Arutiunian vs Aidan Mchugh
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aidan Mchugh, giving them a 56% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (44%). Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10, Mchugh 6-4. At +107, the odds imply 48% for Aidan Mchugh, below the model's 56%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Aidan Mchugh a 56% favorite. At +107 the sportsbook implies 48% for Aidan Mchugh, 8 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Aidan Mchugh at +107 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Erik Arutiunian | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6466 | 6421 |
| Tour rank | ATP #601 | ATP #719 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-18 | 16-9 |
| UTR | 14.0 | 14.09 |
Head to head
Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | 6-4, 6-3 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Erik Arutiunian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Gabriel Debru | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Andres Martin | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Darian King | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Trevor Svajda | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrew Fenty | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Luca Staeheli | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Aidan Mchugh, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luca Pow | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Joshua Sheehy | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Martin Riu | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexandre Reco | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 49% at -175
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 49% at -175
Erik Arutiunian vs Aidan Mchugh: quick answers
Who will win Erik Arutiunian vs Aidan Mchugh?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aidan Mchugh, giving them a 56% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (44%).
What is the head-to-head record between Erik Arutiunian and Aidan Mchugh?
Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Erik Arutiunian 6-4, 6-3 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Erik Arutiunian or Aidan Mchugh?
Erik Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Aidan Mchugh is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Erik Arutiunian and Aidan Mchugh?
Erik Arutiunian is rated 6466 (ATP #601) and Aidan Mchugh is rated 6421 (ATP #719). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Erik Arutiunian vs Aidan Mchugh?
Erik Arutiunian is priced at -156 and Aidan Mchugh at +107, which implies a 61% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Aidan Mchugh 8 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 48%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.