Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Colton Smith, giving them a 52% chance to win against Aidan Mayo (48%). Aidan Mayo leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mayo is 7-3 in their last 10, Smith 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Colton Smith a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Colton Smith at -143 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aidan Mayo | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6650 | 6714 |
| Tour rank | ATP #281 | ATP #199 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 30-22 | 25-25 |
| UTR | 14.31 | 14.62 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1449 | 1529 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Aidan Mayo leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Aidan Mayo | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 | USA Fort Worth |
| 01.10.2026 | Aidan Mayo | 6-2, 7-6 | USA Columbus |
Recent form
Aidan Mayo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | W | 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Hynek Barton | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sander Jong | L | 7-6, 0-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kaylan Bigun | W | 1-6, 6-0, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Colton Smith | W | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 02.10.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Colton Smith | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Nikita Filin | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Jordan Lee | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Colton Smith, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Dylan Dietrich | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Aidan Mayo | L | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Aidan Mayo | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Duncan Chan | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Timo Legout | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Stefan Kozlov | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 28.08.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.08.2026 | Jerome Kym | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.08.2026 | Felix Gill | L | 7-5, 5-7, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aidan Mayo | Colton Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6, W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Andres Andrade | 1-2 W 6-3, 7-6, L 7-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Blaise Bicknell | 0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| Christian Langmo | 2-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, W 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Luka Pavlovic | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Rei Sakamoto | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Roger Pascual Ferra | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Stefan Kozlov | 0-2 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2, L 7-6, 5-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Timo Legout | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Aidan Mayo 44% at +110
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Aidan Mayo 44% at +110
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Aidan Mayo 44% at +110
Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith: quick answers
Who will win Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Colton Smith, giving them a 52% chance to win against Aidan Mayo (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith?
Aidan Mayo leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Aidan Mayo 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Aidan Mayo or Colton Smith?
Aidan Mayo is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Colton Smith is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith?
Aidan Mayo is rated 6650 (ATP #281) and Colton Smith is rated 6714 (ATP #199). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith?
Aidan Mayo is priced at +110 and Colton Smith at -143, which implies a 48% and 59% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.