Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mae Malige, giving them a 56% chance to win against Adrien Gobat (44%). Adrien Gobat leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gobat is 8-2 in their last 10, Malige 4-6. At +139, the odds imply 42% for Mae Malige, below the model's 56%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mae Malige a 56% favorite. At +139 the sportsbook implies 42% for Mae Malige, 14 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mae Malige at +139 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adrien Gobat | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6465 | 6412 |
| Tour rank | ATP #606 | ATP #751 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 6-0 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 18-11 | 20-33 |
| UTR | 13.69 | 13.48 |
Head to head
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 | France Sarreguemines |
Recent form
Adrien Gobat, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Calvin Hemery | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Philip Henning | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniel Masur | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mae Malige | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Robert Strombachs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jelle Sels | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Axel Garcian | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daniel Jade | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Timeo Trufelli | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Calvin Mueller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Mae Malige, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Roan Jones | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Guillaume Dalmasso | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Loann Massard | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | W | 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Melih Anavatan | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Ewen Lumsden | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jacopo Bilardo | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adrien Gobat | Mae Malige |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Nagel | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Henry Searle | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Jelle Sels | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
| Tibo Colson | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-26: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-25: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-24: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-23: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-22: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
- 2026-10-21: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Adrien Gobat 44% at -204
Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige: quick answers
Who will win Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mae Malige, giving them a 56% chance to win against Adrien Gobat (44%).
What is the head-to-head record between Adrien Gobat and Mae Malige?
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Adrien Gobat 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 at France Sarreguemines.
Who is in better form, Adrien Gobat or Mae Malige?
Adrien Gobat is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Mae Malige is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adrien Gobat and Mae Malige?
Adrien Gobat is rated 6465 (ATP #606) and Mae Malige is rated 6412 (ATP #751). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige?
Adrien Gobat is priced at -204 and Mae Malige at +139, which implies a 67% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Mae Malige 14 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 42%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.