Daniel Jade vs Adrien Gobat
Updated
Adrien Gobat beat Daniel Jade 6-3, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Jade at 79%. Adrien Gobat leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jade is 5-5 in their last 10, Gobat 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniel Jade a 79% favorite. At -179 the sportsbook implies 64% for Daniel Jade, 15 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniel Jade at -179 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daniel Jade | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6463 | 6465 |
| Tour rank | ATP #611 | ATP #606 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 28-18 | 18-11 |
| UTR | 13.82 | 13.69 |
Head to head
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | 6-3, 7-5 | France Rodez |
Recent form
Daniel Jade, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Maxence Rivet | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Etienne Donnet | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Kenny De Schepper | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Daniil Glinka | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Mathys Domenc | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Ryan Peniston | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Jordan Lee | L | 3-6, 4-6 |
| 08.09.2026 | Vihaan Reddy | W | 6-7, 6-7 |
Adrien Gobat, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Calvin Hemery | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Philip Henning | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniel Masur | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mae Malige | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Robert Strombachs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jelle Sels | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Axel Garcian | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daniel Jade | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Timeo Trufelli | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Calvin Mueller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daniel Jade | Adrien Gobat |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Nagel | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
Daniel Jade vs Adrien Gobat: quick answers
Who won Daniel Jade vs Adrien Gobat?
Adrien Gobat beat Daniel Jade 6-3, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Jade at 79%.
What is the head-to-head record between Daniel Jade and Adrien Gobat?
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Adrien Gobat 6-3, 7-5 at France Rodez.
Who is in better form, Daniel Jade or Adrien Gobat?
Daniel Jade is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Adrien Gobat is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daniel Jade and Adrien Gobat?
Daniel Jade is rated 6463 (ATP #611) and Adrien Gobat is rated 6465 (ATP #606). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daniel Jade vs Adrien Gobat?
Daniel Jade is priced at -179 and Adrien Gobat at +126, which implies a 64% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Daniel Jade 15 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.