Axel Garcian vs Adrien Gobat
Updated
Adrien Gobat beat Axel Garcian 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Adrien Gobat leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Garcian is 6-4 in their last 10, Gobat 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Adrien Gobat a 77% favorite. At -137 the sportsbook implies 58% for Adrien Gobat, 19 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Adrien Gobat at -137 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Axel Garcian | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6292 | 6465 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1187 | ATP #606 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 14-14 | 18-11 |
| UTR | 12.93 | 13.69 |
Head to head
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 | France Rodez |
Recent form
Axel Garcian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Melih Anavatan | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Arda Azkara | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Adrien Gobat | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Guillaume Dalmasso | W | 6-2, 3-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Oleg Prihodko | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Luc Fomba | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Sacha Grandvincent | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Stefan Seifert | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
Adrien Gobat, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Calvin Hemery | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Philip Henning | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniel Masur | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mae Malige | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Robert Strombachs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jelle Sels | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Axel Garcian | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daniel Jade | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Timeo Trufelli | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Calvin Mueller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Axel Garcian | Adrien Gobat |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Nagel | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
Axel Garcian vs Adrien Gobat: quick answers
Who won Axel Garcian vs Adrien Gobat?
Adrien Gobat beat Axel Garcian 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Axel Garcian and Adrien Gobat?
Adrien Gobat leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Adrien Gobat 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 at France Rodez.
Who is in better form, Axel Garcian or Adrien Gobat?
Axel Garcian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Adrien Gobat is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Axel Garcian and Adrien Gobat?
Axel Garcian is rated 6292 (ATP #1187) and Adrien Gobat is rated 6465 (ATP #606). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Axel Garcian vs Adrien Gobat?
Axel Garcian is priced at -105 and Adrien Gobat at -137, which implies a 51% and 58% chance to win. The model rates Adrien Gobat 19 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.