Adriano Dzhenev vs Derrick Chen
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Derrick Chen, giving them a 66% chance to win against Adriano Dzhenev (34%). Adriano Dzhenev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dzhenev is 7-3 in their last 10, Chen 5-5. At +438, the odds imply 19% for Adriano Dzhenev, below the model's 34%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Derrick Chen a 66% favorite. At +438 the sportsbook implies 19% for Adriano Dzhenev, 15 points below the model's 34%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Adriano Dzhenev at +438 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adriano Dzhenev | Derrick Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5819 | 6105 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4072 | ATP #2167 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 13-8 | 18-13 |
| UTR | 12.19 | 13.24 |
Head to head
Adriano Dzhenev leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Adriano Dzhenev | 6-3, 7-5 | USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Adriano Dzhenev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Corey Craig | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Theodore Dean | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Alexander Guajardo | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Derrick Chen | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Ethan Terry | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Benjamin Wang | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Seth Newman | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.04.2026 | Ivan Savkin | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.04.2026 | Abhinav Chudunru | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.04.2026 | Sohrob Amiryavari | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
Derrick Chen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Kosuke Nakanishi | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Ostovany | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Adriano Dzhenev | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Ilias Bouzoubaa | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 09.05.2026 | Raphael Vaksmann | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.05.2026 | Ainius Sabaliauskas | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.05.2026 | Oskar Antinheimo | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.04.2026 | Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.04.2026 | Charlelie Cosnet | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 12.04.2026 | Alan Bojarski | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Adriano Dzhenev 34% at +438
Adriano Dzhenev vs Derrick Chen: quick answers
Who will win Adriano Dzhenev vs Derrick Chen?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Derrick Chen, giving them a 66% chance to win against Adriano Dzhenev (34%).
What is the head-to-head record between Adriano Dzhenev and Derrick Chen?
Adriano Dzhenev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Adriano Dzhenev 6-3, 7-5 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Adriano Dzhenev or Derrick Chen?
Adriano Dzhenev is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Derrick Chen is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adriano Dzhenev and Derrick Chen?
Adriano Dzhenev is rated 5819 (ATP #4072) and Derrick Chen is rated 6105 (ATP #2167). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adriano Dzhenev vs Derrick Chen?
Adriano Dzhenev is priced at +438 and Derrick Chen at -1111, which implies a 19% and 92% chance to win. The model rates Adriano Dzhenev 15 points higher than the odds do (34% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.