Adrian Oetzbach vs Andrey Chepelev
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrey Chepelev, giving them a 67% chance to win against Adrian Oetzbach (33%). Adrian Oetzbach leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Oetzbach is 5-5 in their last 10, Chepelev 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrey Chepelev a 67% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrey Chepelev at -227 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adrian Oetzbach | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6439 | 6483 |
| Tour rank | ATP #671 | ATP #552 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-29 | 71-44 |
| UTR | 13.61 | 13.85 |
Head to head
Adrian Oetzbach leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Adrian Oetzbach, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | W | 5-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Leonardo Iemmi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Florian Broska | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Filip Pieczonka | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Imanol Lopez Morillo | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Riccardo Trione | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | George Lazarov | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Andrey Chepelev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Manuel Mazza | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Romeo Spinolo | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | L | 6-4, 5-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Simone Massucco | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Stefano Dagostino | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Michiel De Krom | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Max Wiskandt | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adrian Oetzbach | Andrey Chepelev |
|---|---|---|
| John Sperle | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ryo Tabata | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Stefan Popovic | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 1-0 |
| Tim Handel | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-26: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-25: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-24: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-23: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-22: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
- 2026-10-21: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Adrian Oetzbach 33% at +151
Adrian Oetzbach vs Andrey Chepelev: quick answers
Who will win Adrian Oetzbach vs Andrey Chepelev?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrey Chepelev, giving them a 67% chance to win against Adrian Oetzbach (33%).
What is the head-to-head record between Adrian Oetzbach and Andrey Chepelev?
Adrian Oetzbach leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Adrian Oetzbach 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Adrian Oetzbach or Andrey Chepelev?
Adrian Oetzbach is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Andrey Chepelev is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adrian Oetzbach and Andrey Chepelev?
Adrian Oetzbach is rated 6439 (ATP #671) and Andrey Chepelev is rated 6483 (ATP #552). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adrian Oetzbach vs Andrey Chepelev?
Adrian Oetzbach is priced at +151 and Andrey Chepelev at -227, which implies a 40% and 69% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.