Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino
Updated
Karen Khachanov beat Adrian Mannarino 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Karen Khachanov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Khachanov is 6-4 in their last 10, Mannarino 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karen Khachanov a 76% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karen Khachanov at -313 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Karen Khachanov | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6932 | 6880 |
| Tour rank | ATP #22 | ATP #52 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 4 Wins |
| Season record | 29-25 | 27-36 |
| UTR | 16.05 | 15.25 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1840 | 1673 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Karen Khachanov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | 6-2, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Karen Khachanov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Adrian Mannarino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ignacio Buse | W | 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-3, 2-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Karen Khachanov | Adrian Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Alex Michelsen | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Alex Molcan | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Alexander Bublik | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Arthur Fery | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Arthur Gea | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6, 6-0 |
1-1 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Billy Harris | 1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0-1 L 0-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-4, 7-5, W 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Jesper De Jong | 1-1 L 7-5, 5-7, 6-2, 6-7, 6-2, W 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Learner Tien | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Martin Damm | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tomas Machac | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 16-11, 14-11, 13-17, 11-13, 2-0 |
| Ugo Humbert | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino: quick answers
Who won Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino?
Karen Khachanov beat Adrian Mannarino 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino?
Karen Khachanov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Karen Khachanov 6-2, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Karen Khachanov or Adrian Mannarino?
Karen Khachanov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Adrian Mannarino is 8-2 (current streak: 4 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino?
Karen Khachanov is rated 6932 (ATP #22) and Adrian Mannarino is rated 6880 (ATP #52). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino?
Karen Khachanov is priced at -313 and Adrian Mannarino at +243, which implies a 76% and 29% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.