Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli
Updated
Adrian Mannarino beat Flavio Cobolli 6-1, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Flavio Cobolli at 84%. Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10, Cobolli 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Flavio Cobolli a 84% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Flavio Cobolli, 18 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Flavio Cobolli at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adrian Mannarino | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6880 | 6924 |
| Tour rank | ATP #52 | ATP #24 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-36 | 40-26 |
| UTR | 15.25 | 15.86 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1673 | 1916 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Adrian Mannarino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ignacio Buse | W | 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-3, 2-2 |
Flavio Cobolli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 5-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Grigor Dimitrov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Stan Wawrinka | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Learner Tien | L | 6-3, 2-6, 10-7 |
| 05.09.2026 | Alexander Blockx | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adrian Mannarino | Flavio Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1-1 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, L 12-17, 11-13, 18-11, 18-12, 2-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Arthur Fery | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-6, 6-0, L 7-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Ben Shelton | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Ignacio Buse | 1-1 W 0-6, 7-5, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Karen Khachanov | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 0-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Learner Tien | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 10-7, W 6-2, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
0-1 L 5-2 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
3-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Raphael Collignon | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Zizou Bergs | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli: quick answers
Who won Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli?
Adrian Mannarino beat Flavio Cobolli 6-1, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Flavio Cobolli at 84%.
What is the head-to-head record between Adrian Mannarino and Flavio Cobolli?
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Adrian Mannarino 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Adrian Mannarino or Flavio Cobolli?
Adrian Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Flavio Cobolli is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adrian Mannarino and Flavio Cobolli?
Adrian Mannarino is rated 6880 (ATP #52) and Flavio Cobolli is rated 6924 (ATP #24). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli?
Adrian Mannarino is priced at +155 and Flavio Cobolli at -192, which implies a 39% and 66% chance to win. The model rates Flavio Cobolli 18 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.