Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Updated
Adrian Mannarino beat Andrey Rublev 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrey Rublev at 84%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10, Rublev 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrey Rublev a 84% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrey Rublev at -500 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6880 | 6911 |
| Tour rank | ATP #52 | ATP #33 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 27-36 | 39-25 |
| UTR | 15.25 | 15.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1694 | 1880 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
| 06.12.2025 | Andrey Rublev | 12-17, 11-13, 18-11, 18-12, 2-0 | Ultimate Tennis Showdown |
Recent form
Adrian Mannarino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ignacio Buse | W | 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-3, 2-2 |
Andrey Rublev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-1 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-0 |
1-1 L 1-6, 6-2, 6-3, W 13-12, 8-18, 16-12, 13-12 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 11-18, 18-11, 7-18, 14-13, 3-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Ignacio Buse | 1-1 W 0-6, 7-5, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Jakub Mensik | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-5, W 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 4-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Jesper De Jong | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Juncheng Shang | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-1, W 6-3, 2-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Nuno Borges | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-4 |
3-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 7-5, 7-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 1-6, 6-1, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Tomas Machac | 0-1 L 16-11, 14-11, 13-17, 11-13, 2-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Ugo Humbert | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Zizou Bergs | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev: quick answers
Who won Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev?
Adrian Mannarino beat Andrey Rublev 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrey Rublev at 84%.
What is the head-to-head record between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Adrian Mannarino 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Adrian Mannarino or Andrey Rublev?
Adrian Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Andrey Rublev is 5-5 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev?
Adrian Mannarino is rated 6880 (ATP #52) and Andrey Rublev is rated 6911 (ATP #33). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev?
Adrian Mannarino is priced at +350 and Andrey Rublev at -500, which implies a 22% and 83% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.