Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Adrian Mannarino, giving them a 61% chance to win against Aleksandar Vukic (39%). Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10, Vukic 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Adrian Mannarino a 61% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Adrian Mannarino at -175 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adrian Mannarino | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6880 | 6770 |
| Tour rank | ATP #52 | ATP #139 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-36 | 26-32 |
| UTR | 15.25 | 14.73 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1694 | 1635 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Adrian Mannarino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ignacio Buse | W | 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-3, 2-2 |
Aleksandar Vukic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Billy Harris | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Christian Langmo | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 6-3, 4-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adrian Mannarino | Aleksandar Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Arthur Gea | 1-1 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Billy Harris | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-2 L 6-2, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Jacob Fearnley | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Pedro Martinez | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Raphael Collignon | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Tomas Machac | 0-1 L 16-11, 14-11, 13-17, 11-13, 2-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Tommy Paul | 0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Adrian Mannarino 58% at -175
- 2026-10-18: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Adrian Mannarino 58% at -175
Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic: quick answers
Who will win Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Adrian Mannarino, giving them a 61% chance to win against Aleksandar Vukic (39%).
What is the head-to-head record between Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic?
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Adrian Mannarino 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Adrian Mannarino or Aleksandar Vukic?
Adrian Mannarino is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Aleksandar Vukic is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic?
Adrian Mannarino is rated 6880 (ATP #52) and Aleksandar Vukic is rated 6770 (ATP #139). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Adrian Mannarino is priced at -175 and Aleksandar Vukic at +139, which implies a 64% and 42% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.